Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.102220 2.396266 2.716430 3.090911 3.516943 3.986604 4.543756
2025-09-14 1.600858 1.989964 2.451041 3.037704 3.764572 4.636066 5.761265
2025-09-21 1.331821 1.757430 2.292032 3.012883 3.960078 5.163337 6.810223
2025-09-28 1.135403 1.573555 2.150878 2.967324 4.093159 5.592838 7.746138
2025-10-05 1.071598 1.549700 2.206356 3.174198 4.565849 6.497475 9.388673
2025-10-12 0.966288 1.451766 2.143820 3.202369 4.782643 7.058469 10.594165
2025-10-19 0.902722 1.404346 2.144108 3.314585 5.122831 7.816077 12.145007
2025-10-26 0.815563 1.310423 2.063547 3.293174 5.254094 8.267275 13.265624
2025-11-02 0.742608 1.229854 1.993565 3.277682 5.387293 8.724989 14.427563
2025-11-09 0.670147 1.142004 1.902445 3.217045 5.438184 9.050480 15.396615
2025-11-16 0.626946 1.097723 1.876700 3.259265 5.658235 9.662993 16.887050
2025-11-23 0.587767 1.056071 1.850693 3.296896 5.870796 10.275961 18.425195
2025-11-30 0.537426 0.993640 1.789594 3.279050 6.005442 10.801974 19.926252
2025-12-07 0.485566 0.923804 1.709966 3.222559 6.070144 11.219805 21.292911
2025-12-14 0.444415 0.868938 1.651010 3.196232 6.184332 11.732170 22.877223
2025-12-21 0.405158 0.813272 1.584565 3.147904 6.250001 12.156980 24.331422
2025-12-28 0.402393 0.828377 1.653453 3.367351 6.853519 13.655092 28.022705
2026-01-04 0.377823 0.797039 1.628520 3.397234 7.082194 14.442582 30.365447
2026-01-11 0.364868 0.788079 1.646944 3.516270 7.501998 15.645737 33.672922
2026-01-18 0.338888 0.748939 1.599840 3.493558 7.623107 16.248690 35.773894
2026-01-25 0.315910 0.713890 1.557814 3.477124 7.754951 16.883633 38.001302
2026-02-01 0.290899 0.671799 1.496715 3.412801 7.775325 17.280929 39.740658
2026-02-08 0.276968 0.653290 1.485187 3.457588 8.042338 18.236967 42.825815